FanPost

Strength of Schedule at the quarter pole

0vermars popped this up as a fanshot, and I thought it deserved front page. - aaron

The surprising domination of Washington last night got me thinking.  Following the loss last night the Capitals dropped to 14-5-1.  The Thrashers are responsible for 40% of their losses having gone 2-1-1 against the league’s current point leaders.

As the team hits the quarter pole for the season and we’ve played 20% of our games against league’s best I was curious what our strength of schedule (SOS) has been.  As we all know its not who you play but when you play them.

To calculate my SOS I’ve taken a look at every game played to date this season through last night, 11/19.  I’ve simply looked at today’s standings and applied it to every team’s opponents.  I’ve averaged the wins, losses, and overtime losses and extrapolated out  based on 2 points for a win and 1 for an extra time loss.

As an example here is the Thrashers schedule:

 

 

Date

Opp

Score



Opp W

Opp L

Opp OL


8-Oct

Was

4-2

w

 

14

5

1

 

9-Oct

@TB

3-5

l

 

10

7

2

 

12-Oct

@LA

1-3

l

 

12

6

0

 

15-Oct

@ANA

5-4*

w

 

10

9

3

 

16-Oct

@SJ

4-2

w

 

9

5

4

 

20-Oct

BUF

1-4

l

 

8

10

3

 

22-Oct

TB

2-5

l

 

10

7

2

 

23-Oct

@WAS

3-4*

otl

 

14

5

1

 

27-Oct

@NYR

6-4

w

 

10

9

1

29-Oct

BUF

4-3*

w

 

8

10

3

 

30-Oct

@STL

3-4*

otl

 

10

5

3

 

3-Nov

@FLA

4-3

w

 

8

9

0

 

4-Nov

CLB

0-3

l

 

11

6

0

 

6-Nov

CHI

4-5*

otl

 

10

10

2

 

9-Nov

@OTT

2-5

l

 

9

10

1

 

11-Nov

MIN

5-1

w

 

10

6

2

 

13-Nov

PIT

2-4

l

 

11

8

2

 

14-Nov

@WAS

4-6

l

 

14

5

1

 

17-Nov

FLA

1-2

l

 

8

9

0

 

19-Nov

WAS

5-0

w

 

14

5

1

 

 

 

 

 

210

146

32

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10.50

7.30

1.60

22.60

 

 

The Thrashers opponents have a strength of schedule points rating of 22.60.  How does this compare with the rest of the league?

 


Opponents Average




Win

Loss

OTL

Pts

Nashville

10.29

6.94

2.06

22.65

Atlanta

10.5

7.3

1.6

22.6

Islanders

10.44

7.22

1.5

22.39

St Louis

9.83

7.06

2.28

21.94

Columbus

9.76

7.41

2.18

21.71

Phoenix

9.95

6.95

1.74

21.63

New Jersey

9.79

7.58

1.95

21.53

Carolina

9.68

7.37

1.95

21.32

Ottawa

9.6

7.25

2.05

21.25

Boston

9.65

7.82

1.94

21.24

Anaheim

9.5

6.59

2.14

21.14

Tampa Bay

9.42

7.37

2.21

21.05

Calgary

9.28

6.56

2.44

21

Dallas

9.35

7.47

2.29

21

Colorado

9.63

7

1.68

20.95

Buffalo

9.67

8.14

1.57

20.9

Pittsburgh

9.38

7.48

2.1

20.86

Vancouver

9.5

7.89

1.67

20.67

Philadelphia

9.45

8.1

1.75

20.65

Minnesota

9.39

7.39

1.83

20.61

Edmonton

9.39

7.67

1.72

20.5

Detroit

8.88

7.41

2.59

20.35

Toronto

9.39

8.11

1.56

20.33

Los Angeles

8.89

7.61

2.06

19.83

Chicago

8.68

7.5

2.32

19.68

San Jose

9

8.11

1.56

19.56

Rangers

8.65

8.25

2.2

19.5

Florida

8.71

7.94

1.94

19.35

Washington

8.65

8.25

2.05

19.35

Montreal

8.53

8.32

2.05

19.11

 

Thanks to facing the caps 4 times and zero games against early season strugglers (Isles, Devils, Oilers, Leafs) the Thrashers have seen the 2nd toughest schedule to date.

Considering they integrating a new coaching staff, system, roster, locker room leadership regime, goaltenders dropping on the ice and playing a tough early season schedule I’m encouraged about the Thrashers prospects for the season moving forward.

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