Playoff Teams Vs Playoff Teams: Detailed Stats for West Teams


Today I have more detailed stats for games involving playoff opponents. There are two tables below. The first table looks at summary metrics such as Goals (For, Against, Differential) and Shots (For, Against, Differential). The second table looks at team percentages (Power Play %, Penalty Kill %, Save %, Shot %) when facing other playoff teams. (East data here)

Observations:

  • If you look at the Goal Differential numbers in games against playoff teams, Vancouver ranks first in the Western Conference.
  • If you look at Shot Differential the Chicago Blackhawks are just overwhelming other playoff teams with their offensive pressure.
  • Phoenix is the only top four team in the West with a negative Goal Differential when facing other playoff teams, while Detroit is the only bottom four playoff team with a positive goal differential--which team should be favored in this contest? A tough draw for story book season for Coyotes.
  • The Canucks and Red Wings both improved their GFA and GAA when playing tougher opponents this season.
Team Opponent GP GFA GAA G Diff SF SA S Diff
SJS Vs Playoff 43 3.14 2.84 0.30 31.2 32.7 -1.50
SJS vs Non 39 3.31 2.38 0.93 32.3 29.8 2.50
CHI Vs Playoff 42 2.93 2.33 0.60 33.1 25.8 7.30
CHI vs Non 40 3.70 2.78 0.92 35.2 24.4 10.80
VAN Vs Playoff 40 3.35 2.53 0.82 30.0 29.5 0.50
VAN vs Non 42 3.29 2.88 0.41 31.8 29.5 2.30
PHX Vs Playoff 41 2.61 2.63 -0.02 29.3 29.9 -0.60
PHX vs Non 41 2.88 2.29 0.59 31.7 29.3 2.40
DET Vs Playoff 43 2.86 2.58 0.28 32.7 30.5 2.20
DET vs Non 39 2.72 2.69 0.03 34.1 28.2 5.90
LAK Vs Playoff 41 2.83 2.80 0.03 27.8 29.2 -1.40
LAK vs Non 41 3.05 2.54 0.51 30.4 25.9 4.50
NSH Vs Playoff 41 2.59 2.88 -0.29 29.8 30.0 -0.20
NSH vs Non 41 2.90 2.61 0.29 31.3 28.5 2.80
COL Vs Playoff 38 2.71 3.32 -0.61 26.2 32.0 -5.80
COL vs Non 44 3.20 2.43 0.77 29.4 32.1 -2.70
STL Vs Playoff 46 2.54 3.02 -0.48 30.5 32.3 -1.80
STL vs Non 36 3.00 2.33 0.67 29.0 27.4 1.60
CGY Vs Playoff 45 2.42 2.53 -0.11 31.1 31.1 0.00
CGY vs Non 37 3.41 2.51 0.90 32.1 31.7 0.40
ANA Vs Playoff 48 2.83 3.04 -0.21 29.5 33.2 -3.74
ANA vs Non 34 3.00 3.12 -0.12 31.1 33.6 -2.49
DAL Vs Playoff 48 2.73 3.17 -0.44 30.2 32.1 -1.90
DAL vs Non 34 3.12 3.00 0.12 31.6 29.9 1.70
MIN Vs Playoff 46 2.59 3.26 -0.67 26.9 30.8 -3.90
MIN vs Non 36 2.78 2.67 0.11 28.6 27.8 0.80
CBJ Vs Playoff 47 2.45 3.49 -1.04 27.6 32.5 -4.90
CBJ vs Non 35 2.89 2.71 0.18 29.8 28.2 1.60
EDM Vs Playoff 46 2.61 3.37 -0.76 27.5 33.7 -6.20
EDM vs Non 36 2.61 3.49 -0.88 29.4 32.4 -3.00

Observations for Table 2:

In general most teams don't show much difference in their team Shot % or team Save % when you split the data out. However, we are more likely to see gaps in PP% and PK%.

  • Blackhawks Power Play was anemic versus other playoff clubs, while Nashville's Power Play was much BETTER against playoff teams.
  • The LA Kings and Avalanche PK were both rather porous versus good teams, the Chicago PK was better against post-season qualifiers.
  • Vancouver benefited from having both above average SV% and above average ST%.
  • Colorado had significantly better goaltending when facing non-playoff teams then it did against post-season qualifiers.

What is this PDO stat? It is a measure of luck. League wide SV% and ST% must add up to 100%. A few star level players show the ability to sustain higher than average SV and ST rates, over the long run, but at the team level only dynasty level teams can maintain a higher than average PDO over the long run of multiple seasons.

Ergo, if a team has a number over 100% suggests that a team has been fortunate, anything under 100% suggests they have been unlucky. When facing other playoff teams the San Jose, Vancouver and Kings had some good luck, while Nashville did not.

Team Opponent W% PP% PK% SV% ST% PDO
SJS Vs Playoff 53.5% 20.3% 83.9% 91.3% 10.1% 1.01
SJS vs Non 70.5% 21.8% 85.5% 92.0% 10.2% 1.02
CHI Vs Playoff 58.3% 13.4% 86.5% 90.9% 8.8% 1.00
CHI vs Non 65.0% 22.1% 83.5% 88.6% 10.5% 0.99
VAN Vs Playoff 58.8% 21.5% 81.4% 91.4% 11.2% 1.03
VAN vs Non 60.7% 21.0% 81.7% 90.2% 10.3% 1.01
PHX Vs Playoff 51.2% 14.6% 84.8% 91.5% 8.9% 1.00
PHX vs Non 61.0% 14.6% 84.3% 92.2% 9.1% 1.01
DET Vs Playoff 60.5% 21.3% 83.6% 91.5% 8.7% 1.00
DET vs Non 50.0% 17.1% 84.3% 90.5% 8.0% 0.99
LAK Vs Playoff 50.0% 21.8% 79.2% 90.4% 10.2% 1.01
LAK vs Non 59.8% 20.0% 81.3% 90.2% 10.0% 1.00
NSH Vs Playoff 45.1% 21.0% 77.0% 90.4% 8.7% 0.99
NSH vs Non 64.6% 12.2% 77.2% 90.8% 9.3% 1.00
COL Vs Playoff 40.8% 18.0% 77.4% 89.6% 10.4% 1.00
COL vs Non 60.2% 18.1% 82.5% 92.4% 10.9% 1.03
STL Vs Playoff 38.0% 13.6% 84.0% 90.7% 8.4% 0.99
STL vs Non 59.7% 22.0% 90.5% 91.5% 10.3% 1.02
CGY Vs Playoff 47.8% 15.1% 87.8% 91.9% 7.8% 1.00
CGY vs Non 66.2% 20.6% 85.5% 92.1% 10.6% 1.03
ANA Vs Playoff 46.9% 20.8% 81.0% 90.8% 9.6% 1.00
ANA vs Non 52.9% 21.4% 76.7% 90.7% 9.6% 1.00
DAL Vs Playoff 41.7% 17.6% 77.9% 90.1% 9.0% 0.99
DAL vs Non 54.4% 20.0% 76.8% 90.0% 9.9% 1.00
MIN Vs Playoff 40.2% 0.2% 81.5% 89.4% 9.6% 0.99
MIN vs Non 56.9% 18.0% 84.2% 90.4% 9.7% 1.00
CBJ Vs Playoff 31.9% 17.6% 80.4% 89.3% 8.9% 0.98
CBJ vs Non 60.0% 18.9% 83.7% 90.4% 9.7% 1.00
EDM Vs Playoff 0.3% 19.3% 84.6% 90.0% 9.5% 1.00
EDM vs Non 27.8% 15.2% 70.6% 89.2% 8.9% 0.98

 

Click here for Eastern Conference.

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