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Pull the Fork Out? Thrashers Claw Back into Playoff Hunt

After trading star Ilya Kovalchuk, the Thrashers battled their way into the 8th place in the Eastern Conference hopes were. Then came a winless streak in which their playoff chances just collapsed. To get back into the hunt I said they would need a winning streak of 5 of 6 games. Well they've won 3 straight (and earned one point against PHX). If they keep pace with Boston tomorrow (ATL plays PHI and BOS plays NYR) that sets up a "one game playoff" between Boston and Atlanta at Philips Arena Tuesday night. The Thrashers could potentially pass Boston with a win on Tuesday and vault back into 8th again. To pull that off they probably need to win Sunday and Tuesday which would be a 5 game win streak. Can they string together that many great efforts? Can they continue to get some friendly bounces around the net? Stay tuned.

The win over the Flyers last night was the most complete game of the season for Atlanta. They played the full 60 minutes and excelled in many areas. Defensively they were extremely dedicated to shutting down the shooting lanes--they blocked many shots--but frequently they discouraged shots with their body position. Their intensity was palpable inside the arena and the crowd responded to their energy.

Star-divide

The Thrashers knew the Flyers were in town and they came to play physically. They battled hard along the boards and in the corners and simply out worked the Flyers at times. The Thrashers 3rd and 4th lines were able to burn up the clock by cycling the puck deep in the Philly end. They brought a playoff level intensity last night. The Thrashers PK was a perfect 3 for 3, but the fact that they only had to kill three times is the key element. Atlanta was able to  physical and yet only allowed their power plays against. The Philadelphia PP is one of the best in the NHL and keeping them off the ice was the most effective PK possible.

In the post-game show Sully was talking about how the Thrashers were 3-0 against PHI this season after managing just 4 wins against the Flyers in the nine previous years in franchise history. Sully credited the difference to the departure of Antero Nittymaki--which certainly has helped--but I would suggest that the addition of huge players like Antropov, Kubina and Artyukhin allowed the Thrashers to match up much better. It is a lot easier for a guy like Bryan Little to play with courage and passion when he has a giant teammate out on the ice rumbling with the Flyers along the boards. In the past the Thrashers were usually man handled by the Flyers, but not so tonight.

Long term readers know that I usually have little love for Jimmy Slater. My long-term complaint against Slater was that he was overpaid for what he brought to the table. He was a 4th line guy who didn't score, didn't hit all that well and was a poor PK guy. I thought that the Thrashers could do better with their money. Well this season Slater has been a much more valuable player. Lately he has scored, hit and killed penalties more effectively--if this is the new Jimmy Slater then I want more of it. Last night Slater played with the frequently invisible Todd White and the slow footed but suddenly hot Colby Armstrong and their line was very effective at both ends. Slater has delivered some huge hits and scored goals by simply working very hard. A few seasons ago his balance was terrible and he would routinely fall down while turning--but Slater's skating and balance appears to be much improved and "blown tires" have been very infrequent this year.

Another guy who deserves a lot of praise is Nik Antropov. Simply put he has been the Thrashers most consistent forward all season. Hands down Antropov is the best free agent signing in Thrashers history. He wins all kinds of puck battles along the boards. He finished his checks. He has great touch passing the puck and and an ability to finish off chances. At the other end of the ice he so effective it is like having a 3rd defenseman back there. Antropov has dominated the opposition at Even Strength all season and his +18 rating is way ahead of any other Thrasher. A measure of credit should go to both Nik and the coaching and training staff as he has been in the lineup almost every night after missing big chunks of games in Toronto.

The third hero of the night has to be Hedberg who has been very consistent of late. Johan has been beaten by very few straight shots. Many of the goals allowed are deflections and tips--and it looked to me that the Flyers 2nd goal hit defenseman Mark Popovic. The coaching staff has a tough call to make--does Hedberg get every start the rest of the way? Do you risk wearing him out? Do you risk putting in Pavelec who has seen very few pucks lately?
The Thrashers have virtually no margin for error--I would play Hedberg the next two games and take the chance of a tired performance.

Honorable mention also goes to Colby Armstrong who is suddenly red hot after a down season in the scoring department.

I thought the Flyers top two lines showed very little passion last night. I don't think the Thrashers should expect a repeat of that tomorrow in Philadelphia. So Atlanta will have to bring their "A" game once again. You know how Atlanta fans complain after a lack luster performance? Well check out the Flyers fans ranks at Broad Street Hockey. My favorite comment: "The thing that is really pissing me off though…the damn Mooose chant after every save."

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Congrats BWA team, this blog is growing up fast.

The last two games have been a treat, big one tonight though.

by btn on Mar 21, 2010 10:29 AM EDT reply actions  

Ride the Moose!

Please don’t mention Pavelec. After watching him in the shootout last Sunday against Phoenix, he’s just not ready for NHL, much less playoff intensity. Watching him is like watching to see if an out of control car wrecks. Mind you, I won’t criticize his effort and whether he shows up with a positive attitude, but in 30 years of hockey I have never seen a goalie see the puck as poorly as Pavelec did in game against the Bruins on 12/30. Given the crowd, you would have thought he was the one wearing the beer goggles. And then there’s the fact that it looks like they team plays with a total different level of confidence with Moose in net. Pavelec? Just say no.

by hexagenia on Mar 21, 2010 11:02 AM EDT reply actions  

Colby Armstrong

Back when he had 8 goals in 50 games or whatever, I predicted Colby would hit 20 goals by the end of the season. I felt a little silly afterward, even though I was well aware of his late-season heroics… he just didn’t look like he had it in him.

Well, I am vindicated. Thanks, Armdog.

by timmyf on Mar 21, 2010 12:22 PM EDT reply actions  

He still hasn’t reached 20 goals, so I’m not sure that I’d be bragging about being “vindicated” if I was you – yet. But I will give partial credit for the prediction, which was brave enough at the time. Heck, I’d have probably not guessed he’d reach 15 by the end of the season if I was asked for a prediction near game 50.

by Zontar on Mar 21, 2010 1:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

What a great game. Today’s game in Philly will be the real test though as the Flyers will certainly have alot more effort. Tuesday’s game against the Bruins will be exciting. Hopefully a good crowd shows up cause you know there will be a lot of Bruin’s fans.

by Tim C on Mar 21, 2010 12:54 PM EDT reply actions  

Antropov & Armstrong

Not only has Antropov been our most consistent forward, he has become the team leader on the ice. I have attended every game this year, and I have seen his energy and committment – dare I say passion – reach another level since the Kovalchuk trade. I think you are right about the effect of the coaches /trainers management of his nagging hip injury …. I hope it is not something we have to deal with every year.
About Army….. didn’t we see a slew of goals from him about this time last year? I still don’t know if anyone will pay a 15-20 goal scorer more than the 2.5 he’s making this year…. unless you factor in the intangibles he also brings.

by JLH on Mar 21, 2010 2:20 PM EDT reply actions  

Moose or Pavs?

A better question may be who is Philadelphia going to put in goal? If they go with Duchesne then John Anderson may go with Pavelec. Another thing to look at is the result of the Rangers/Bruins game. If the Bruins lose, JA may think it is better to make sure Hedberg is well rested and ready for the game on Tuesday.

It is a tough decision but I think John Anderson will start Pavelec. And I think it is the right thing to do. Here is the reasons why.

If the team is going to make the playoffs then they are going to need Pavelec at some point. He is also the future. He is a young goalie who may have a lack of confidence. Not starting him in an obvious time he should get the call may do him more harm.

Philly saw the Moose last night. They will have time to think and plan on what they did right and wrong against him. Throw another guy at them instead.

As mentioned before, the game on Tuesday, and for that matter the rest of the season, is more important than this one game tonight. A tired goalie playing against a very physical team is more prone to injury.

Having said all that, the Moose may start or see playing time. If so, I am sure he will be ready to battle.

by NoGloryWithoutGuts on Mar 21, 2010 2:49 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

I can't believe it!

GO MOOSE! GO THRASHERS!!!!

"Everything we're going to do is going to be done with a foundation of integrity with every aspect of the program. We're going to represent Tennessee with class on and off the field." Coach Derek Dooley

by Rocky Top on Mar 22, 2010 9:38 AM EDT reply actions  

Who needs Kovalchuk?

I’m starting to think this team is going to be just fine without Kovalchuk. Sure, he was there in the beginning and obviously contributed to a decent record, but the Thrashers are doing just fine without him. If they make the playoffs this year, which is very possible, they’ve already accomplished making it to the playoffs the same amount of times than they had with Kovalchuk.

by AGreen on Mar 22, 2010 12:37 PM EDT reply actions  

Who ever said don’t play pavelec was off. What a nice game. 41 saves? That-a-boy

by ATLbronco on Mar 22, 2010 7:22 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Wow...

I come home from vacation to find Falconer saying nice things about Slater. I know it won’t last, so I’m going to enjoy it while I can… ;) Nice read. I needed something to take my mind of last night’s travesty.

by BethD on Mar 24, 2010 11:03 AM EDT reply actions  

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