Bird Watchers Anonymous: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
New Blog: Anonymous Eagle covering Marquette!

How Much Money will the Thrashers Have to Spend this Summer?

The NHL Draft and start of the Free Agency period are only about 30 days away now, so it is time to think about the Thrashers options. The Thrashers cleared quite a bit of salary cap commitments off their books when they traded veterans Schneider, Havelid and Williams.

In my interview with Don Waddell he expressed interest in adding a top 4 defenseman and a top 6 forward through free agency or trades.Then in his interview with Ben Wright he stated that the team would have a budget in the neighborhood of $46 million.

According to www.nhlscap.com the Thrashers have a $31.6 cap commitment for next season. The Thrashers have several RFA (Lehtonen) and UFA (Reasoner) who need to be  signed. Neither of them will receive enormous raises in my opinion. In order to get a handle on how the money works out I've some educated guesses. (Salmela has re-signed but the amount of money is unknown at this point).

In the table below I've handed out some modest raises to most of the RFA players. My educated guesses are enclosed by () in the table. Kari was paid $3 this last year. Top rated goalies like Kiprusoff make over $5 million. I don't think he will merit All-Star money but he probably will get a raise if he signs a multi-year deal with Atlanta, so I put him down for a cap hit of $4 million.

If my RFA and UFA guesses are close to the mark, the Thrashers will spend just over $40 million on 18 rosters spots. Last year their internal budget was around $45-46 million (they would have hit that total if they had not traded away veterans like Schneider).

1st Line Kovalchuk 6.3 White 2.4 Little 0.9
2nd Line Kozlov 3.7 Peverley 0.5 UFA ???
3rd Line Stuart 0.5 Reasoner (1.5) Armstrong (2.0)
4th Line Boulton 0.6 Slater (0.8) Thorburn (0.8)
1st Defense Bogosian 3.4 Enstrom 3.8
2nd Defense Hainsey 4.5 UFA ???
3rd Defense Valabik (1.0) Exelby 1.4 Salmela (0.9)
Goalies Lehtonen (4.0) Hedberg 1.1

 

If my educated guesses are close the Thrashers will have roughly $6 million in cap space. That is probably not enough money to sign a top 4 D and top 6 F on the UFA market.

Don Waddell indicated in the interview that he was considering dealing a goalie to fill one of the roster holes. Which goalie will be moved is unclear. I assume Lehtonen might net a bigger name prospect or player than Pavelec would. If he were to deal Lehtonen that would free up an addition $3 million in cap room (Lehtonen's $4 minus Pavelec's $1 salary). On other hand, if the Thrashers were to go the other route and deal Pavelec to fill one roster hole, they would probably want to target a young cheap prospect which would then leave them money to use on the UFA market to fill the remaining roster  hole at D or F.

Over at HF Trade Board there have been some talk about a Pavelec for Lupul (PHI) trade which would help Atlanta up front and Philly in goal. One of the biggest problems with such a trade is that Lupul is overpaid at $4.25 per season (more than Kozlov I might point out) and if you acquire him that leaves the team with essentially just $1 million and change to fill their other roster hole--re-signing Salmela eats up the last bit in the budget.

Now if you're the Thrashers and the Flyers call up asking for Pavelec, in return for him I would request a young cheap guy like Giroux ($0.8 million) or Nodl ($0.8 million). The Flyers probably will not want to part with Giroux but I'd certainly ask. If you traded Pavelec for Nodl, that would then leave the team with $4-5 million to acquire a top 4 NHL defensemen.

Another team that might be looking for help in goal is Colorado. Some have suggested a Pavelec for Svatos or Wolski trade might work. If Atlanta acquire Svatos ($2.0 million) that would leave about $4 and if they acquired Wolski ($2.8) that would leave them about $3 for an UFA defenseman.

A third option would be to fill that top six forward with a player taken in this year's NHL draft. If the team feels that a player like Matt Duchesne, Evander Kane or Braydon Schenn could step into a top six role that would leave a significant chunk of cash available for a defenseman. The CBA sets the maximum rookie salary at just over $1 million with roughly $2.5 in potential bonuses. So a rookie like Duchesne or Kane could have a final cap hit of somewhere between $1 million and $3.5 million which would leave more $3-5 million available for a defenseman.

Conclusion: As you can see there are a lot of possibilities. We know the Thrashers probably will only have about $5-6 million to spend on a Forward and Defenseman. We know they will likely trade one goalie. We know they might draft a player who make the NHL immediately. Putting specific names into those slots is a real challenge though.

 

0 recs  |  Comment 6 comments |

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

Bogosian

It should be pointed out that since the NHLPA didn’t re-open the CBA, it isn’t set to expire until 2011, which means Bogosian’s rookie bonuses are no longer part of his cap hit heading into the season. His cap hit should only be the rookie contract max of about $1 million. That (in theory) frees up another $2.4 million.

by BenWright on May 29, 2009 9:26 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

It is true that the cap bonuses are not automatic like last year.

I wonder how the Thrashers will treat that in their internal budgeting—given how well Bogosian played toward the end of last year I’m wondering if he isn’t more likely to qualify for those bonus clauses? But an extra $2.4 million would certainly allow them to go after some better UFA type players.

by The Falconer on May 29, 2009 12:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Kovalchuk

I think in doing the math you have to look at the strong possibility that Kovalchuk is traded this summer. With a year left on his contract and no apparent ownership interest in making the team competitive in the near turn, you have to assume he’s gone next year for nothing.

Instead this summer the team could get a lot of quality prospects for him and free up a lot of money.

by jonathan_m_peterson on May 29, 2009 9:33 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Trading Kovalchuk and his $6.4 million cap hit would create a large number of possibilities—so many that it is very hard to game plan them out on a blog :(

by The Falconer on May 29, 2009 12:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don’t agree with this. I certainly understand the logical argument for it ad why the upside is there, but I don’t believe the team would pull the trigger on such a deal—at least not unless Kovy came out this summer and said point blank “there is absolutely no way I resign with you at the end of the season.”

by godsendjen on May 29, 2009 12:42 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not Good

If I’m correct, I rememember Kovy “suggesting” we spend toward the ceiling. I don’t think this is going to be enough

by Whalers on Jun 5, 2009 8:57 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog about the Atlanta Thrashers.
Start posting about the Thrashers »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

Connect_with_facebook

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recent FanPosts

Small
Adding Injury to Injury
Small
Hopefully Something Big Happens
Small
Thrashers Acquire Artyukhin for Oystrick, Conditional Pick
Small
Penalty Kill Effectiveness : A new way to look at an old stat?
Small
Thrashers Call Up Kulda
Small
Trail of Tears - Atlanta Thrashers and the 1st round of the Entry Draft
Bethbooavatar_small
Jimmy Slater for Mr. January
Small
Kovi, where were you??
Small
Keeper Fantasy League
Flashers-ten-year_small
Custance chats with Levenson about Kovy contract

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

Southeast Standings

GP W L OTL PT
Washington 68 45 14 9 99
Tampa Bay 67 28 27 12 68
Atlanta 67 28 29 10 66
Florida 66 27 29 10 64
Carolina 67 28 31 8 64

(updated 3.13.2010 at 8:06 AM EST)

28 - 29 - 10

Lost 5

Blog Extras

SBNation.com Recent Stories

Colorado Avalanche players Matt Duchene, left, and John-Michael Liles celebrate the goal by  Duchene in the third period of an NHL hockey game in Anaheim, Calif.  on Wednesday, March 3, 2010, in Anaheim, Calif. ( AP Photo/Christine Cotter) link

Myers, Howard or Duchene? A Look At The Calder Trophy Race

Boston Bruins left wing Milan Lucic, right, and Toronto Maple Leafs right wing Colton Orr exchange punches during a fight in the first period of an NHL hockey game in Boston, Thursday, March 4, 2010. (AP Photo/Charlie Krupa) link

The Biggest Hockey Brawls Of The Last 23 Years

Toronto Maple Leafs' Mikhail Grabovski, center right, scores his team's fifth goal against Edmonton Oilers goaltender Jeff Deslauriers (38) as Oilers Theo Peckham, left, Maple Leafs' Luca Caputi, second from left, Oilers' Marc Pouliot, second from right, and Tom Gilbert, right, skate in during second-period action of an NHL hockey game in Toronto on Saturday, March 13, 2010. (AP Photo/The Canadian Press,Chris Young)

Leafs Top Oilers In Battle Of Basement; World Keeps Spinning

More from SBNation.com >


Managers

Bwa-lg_small The Falconer

Editors

Monkey_small aaron b

Buster2_small EvilMilkshake

Small timmyf