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Dreger Suggests Lehtonen for van Riemsdyk Trade

TSN's Darren Dreger put out a top 10 trade list and has Lehtonen as #2 and uber prospect James van Riemsdyk as #3 on his list. Dreger writes:

No. 3 - Philadelphia prospect James van Riemsdyk.  The University of New Hampshire forward, picked second in 2007, has been linked to Atlanta in a deal that would see a goalie going to the Flyers.

No. 2 - Thrashers goalie Kari Lehtonen is of interest to the Flyers. If Atlanta GM Don Waddell continues to rebuild, swapping Lehtonen for a prospect such as Van Riemsdyk would have to be seriously considered.

I'm not the least bit surprised to read that the Thrashers might be talking trade with Lehtonen. Going back to last summer I suggested that a trade was in order since the Thrashers have both Pavelec and Lehtonen and Hedberg who can all play at the NHL level.

For a team like Atlanta--which only has 4 sure fire scoring players and 6 slots for scorers on their roster--sitting on three NHL goalies is a waste of resources. One of these guys needs to be moved for something of value that can help the team.

Van Riemsdyk's stock took a bit of hit at this year's World Junior Championship after he turned in a less inspiring performance than he did in 2008. Drafted 2nd over in 2007, he's still considered a blue chip prospect. He's currently putting up a point per game for New Hampshire. His 31 and 34 points in college as an 18 and 19 suggest that he is on track to be an top six NHL forward. Very few 18 year olds can manage a point per game playing against guys who are mostly 20-22 years old.

This potential trade also makes a lot of sense when you consider that right now the Thrashers are on track to land the #2 overall pick. Most believe that Center Tavares will go first overall and Swedish Defenseman Victor Hedman #2.

Now the potential of having Hedman, Bogosian, Enstrom and Hainsey, Valabik and Kulda as the defensive corps of the future is VERY exciting to me as a fan. But the Thrashers still need to address the two big holes in their two scoring forward lines. It is possible Esposito could fill one of those spots, depending upon his recovery from a major knee injury (realistically he might not make the team until 2010 though). But Van Riemsdyk could turn pro this summer and slot right into our top six (although he might need to switch wings).

Your 2010-2011 Atlanta Thrashers

  1. Kovalchuk-White-Little
  2. Sterling-Esposito-van Riemsdyk
  3. Holzapfel-Machacek-Armstrong
  4. C. Stuart-Thorburn-Crabb
  1. Bogosian-Hainsey
  2. Hedman-Enstrom
  3. Valabik-Kulda
  1. Pavelec
  2. mystery backup goalie

That entire team is YOUNG and TALENTED and CHEAP (other than Kovalchuk). Of course it is unlikely all those prospects will make the NHL and some of those slots are likely to be filled by a few UFA players (especially if the salary cap falls for the 2010 season as many expect that it will).

Conclusion: Moving Lehtonen for a star prospect like van Riemsdyk makes a lot of sense as it allows the Thrashers to use a surplus of talent to fill in a big need for scoring forwards. It also allows the Thrashers to get young and expand their talent base. I say go for it!

 

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Goalies?

 I am not against us trading Kari, but can you really see us sticking with Pavelec and Hedberg as our 1-2? I would still get another goalie, and ship off Moose or just let him go. Again, the list of goalies that I posted a few days ago, I am sure if we offered at least double for what some of them are making, we will come in under what Kari was paid, and be getting a good deal. I mean Conklin is only getting $750K, Weekes- 700K, and Clemmensen is making 500K. I don’t know if we can get Conklin because if I am Detroit, I would resign him as soon as I can. If NJ signs Clemmensen, which I would too, then that leaves Weekes. He is not bad either, and you just know that NJ is going to have to let one of those two go. I still say we get one of these underpaid backups.

St. Louis played Holt last night as Mason faltered. Is he any good too?

Not taking anything away from what you say about van Riemsdyk, I am sure that it would be a great trade, but I still think that we need to get another goalie.

by BigThrashFan on Feb 19, 2009 1:21 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Well personally I’d never have given Hedberg a 2 year deal. In a perfect world I’d like something like Pavelec and an experienced NHL netminder and have them push each other. As Mirtle discusses in this blog, it is becoming increasingly common for teams to use real goalie tandem where there isn’t as much of a clear #1 and #2 as in the past.

by The Falconer on Feb 19, 2009 1:45 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Don’t we have another year of Slava Kozlov? I don’t see him on the projected roster. I would also be a little shocked to see more than two of of the Sterling/Esposito/van Riemsdyk/Holzapfel/Machacek group make the roster out of camp. I think if we were going to make Sterling a big part of our future that he’d be playing with us now.

by godsendjen on Feb 19, 2009 1:42 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

My roster was for 2010-2011, Slava is only signed through next year 2009-2010, hence his absence.

by The Falconer on Feb 19, 2009 1:43 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

ah…the blondness in me missed that you were another year out. I could see that roster happening then with the exception of Sterling. I still don’t think he makes it at this level with the Thrashers.

by godsendjen on Feb 19, 2009 1:56 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, not looking so good for Sterling now. I was trying to build a 2010 team with guys in our system.

The Sterling slot could easily be filled by a UFA signing or a trade for some over paid guy like Briere.

by The Falconer on Feb 19, 2009 2:04 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Mirtle's take

YEah, I saw Mirtle’s take on the 1-2 goalie tandem, and I think that is what we have tried to have. But it is too lopsided.
Why do you think Sterling won’t make it?

You still haven’t said what goalies you would go after, Falconer. Who do you like? Who do you think we have a chance at landing?

by BigThrashFan on Feb 19, 2009 2:15 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I can see this deal happening at some point but not at the deadline. The Flyers have a chance to go deep into the playofs:Lehtonen has no playoff experience to speak of (since his only experience was truly unspeakable). You can say Theodore to the Avs, Huet to the Caps but both of those teams were much more desperate than the Flyers and their playoff chances much murkier. From the Thrashers point of view, the UFA goalies this coming summer are much older than Lehtonen and shopworn (Fernandez, Khabibulin, Biron, Nittimayki-I’m assuming Thomas will resign with Boston). Putting Lehtonen into that market would fetch much more than Van Riemsdyk,imo.

by Big Picture Guy on Feb 19, 2009 7:00 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Van Riemsdyk is pretty much a blue chipper, which is about as good as it’ll get for a goalie with the injury history Lehtonen has. If I’m the Flyers, I’m thinking long and hard about this deal because a goaltending upgrade might be all that team needs to win the Eastern Conference.

by David M. Getz on Feb 19, 2009 11:07 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Is Lehtonen really a goalie upgrade? I don’t think so.

Broad Street Hockey - SB Nation's Philadelphia Flyers Blog
Because the Broad Street Subway is orange for a reason.

by Travis Hughes on Feb 20, 2009 8:58 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

After watching Lehtonen for several years while I was living in Atlanta I will say this: he’s better than his numbers and his numbers are better than Biron’s and Niittymaki’s.

by David M. Getz on Feb 21, 2009 4:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Off season yes, trade deadline no

Why would Philly make this trade at the deadline? I think that Nittymaki-Biron are fine. Philly ‘s defense is good enough. Biron is up and down, but he played well enough in the playoffs to get them to the Eastern Conference Finals. If I am Holmgren and Stevens, I wouldn’t do a thing. This is typical Flyers crap. They are gritty, and if their key guys stay healthy, they have as good a chance as anyone to win the Eastern Conference. Instead of the Pens in the final, for my money, it is going to be tough to call, but Boston, Philly and Washington. Philly is just one of those teams you can never count out. Washington is better this year than last year; if Theodore is on, then they will go far! Boston is also so much better too! I don’t really see any other team threatening any of those three. Well, the Devils, actually may. They are better this year too, but if they are getting beat by Florida, I don’t know. When Brodeur is back, I guess we will see. Their offense is better this year than last. Parise has stepped it up, and they have Rolston and Shanahan this year. The leadership Shanahan provides may make a difference. Also, if they have a few key players like Boston now has, it can make all the difference in the world. If they can score, then they have a better chance. That was their problem last year; Brodeur was awesome, but no scoring.

Getting back to the Van Riemsdyk for Lehtonen trade, if they get Lehtonen, who would you let go? I guess Biron or would it be Nittymaki? Both are UFAs this summer, and Biron is more expensive. I would resign Nittymaki and let Biron go. Although Nittymaki will probably ask for more money, and if he becomes the #1, he should ask for more too.

I know that some of those goalies are older, big pix guy, but they are still proving their worth. Khabibulin may be injured right now, but he is the reason why Chicago is in 4th and are holding that spot; not Huet. Although Huet played well last night. Fernandez doesn’t seem as dominant as Tim Thomas, but he is still playing effectively. If they are available, I would still take them, but I would go after a younger goalie first. Biron is 31, Conklin is 32; Fernandez is 34; Khabibulin is 39; Theodore is 32; Anderson is 27; Niittymaki is 28, Clemmensen is 31; Weekes is 33. Of that group, my top choices are, in this order: Conklin, Anderson, Clemmensen and Niittymaki. And really I would take either Niittymaki or Anderson equally. Weekes, although I think he is not as good as Clemmensen, I would stil consider him too. Weekes is going to be 34 in a month, and even though he and Fernandez are about the same age, it seems that Fernandez gets injured a lot. I would rather have Weekes than Fernandez just for that reason alone. Why get another goalie that is going to be injury prone? Anyhow, getting another forward is not a bad idea since we don’t know if Kovalchuk is going to stay or not after the deadline or even after next season, but it never hurts to have another blue chip forward prospect. Especially if we are trading away a goalie who, plays well sometimes, but is not consistent enough to be a good #1 goalie for a team that is trying to improve. I think this is why the Islanders are struggling, in a way, too. DiPietro is good, but he is always injured. I think the Isles jumped the gun when they signed him long term.

by BigThrashFan on Feb 20, 2009 8:43 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Van R. Too Much To Give Up For Kari

Kari lacks the game-in-game-out consistency that’s required to be a top 5 NHL goalie. James Van R. has tremendous talent. A weak supporting cast hurt his performance at the junior championship, not his own talent. That Canada team wa just too deep.

by mo wanchuk on Feb 20, 2009 10:14 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Kari seems to be coming around ...

… and I’m not convinced Pavelec is ready to be #1. For Kari, the light seems to be coming on – he’s battling and starting to play like a #1 goalie – maybe not the best in the league, but certainly a solid one. As important as that position is, it seems that trading him for a prospect carries significant downside risk. Sure Riemsdyk looks like he’ll be good, but do you really trade an NHL goalie for a projected 2nd line prospect?

by AtlBirdsFan on Feb 20, 2009 10:17 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Why do Atlanta fans keep assuming that Kari would resign with us next season? That our dysfunctional ownership group would pay so well for him? That he will turn into a healthy goalie who doesn’t miss a month every season?

I just don’t understand taking something for him rather than getting nothing. If you trade Kari now it means you can watch Pavs in the role of “real” NHL starting goalie for the remainder of the season. If we don’t like what we see we can still go out and sign Kari as a free agent this summer. It is a best of both worlds scenario.

by godsendjen on Feb 20, 2009 10:38 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Why do Atlanta fans keep assuming that Kari would resign with us next season?

I think because he’s a restricted free agent.

by David M. Getz on Feb 21, 2009 4:38 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Not sure this is going to happen

If Van R. is a 2nd line prospect, we have plenty of those already. I don’t think that Pavelec is ready to be the #1 goalie. I know that other teams are interested in Pavelec too, and Guy Carbonneau has been quoted recently as saying that Kari is still a good goalie even though his stats don’t show that. But there is what we have seen here in Atlanta, and we need a goalie that is going to be solid, consistent, and doesn’t get injured mysteriously every October/November every season, and then plays strong when he comes back when it may be too late to qualify for the playoffs. We need a goalie that is committed to playing well night in and night out, and is going to stay healthy. That is why I posted the list I did of goalies up for UFA; there are some goalies in that list that are being paid very little and are not appreciated by the teams they play for. I still can’t believe that Conklin is getting less than 1 mill when he is the one that helped Pittsburgh get into the finals not Fleury. And Fleury is having a crap season right now. I think the lack of a good backup is also hurting them, but they are not publicly admitting it. I think Shero made a huge mistake not resigning Conklin. And, they coud have afforded him! On the contrary, Detroit is benefitting from his great play while Osgood has been dismal. I would be paying for him to be a #1 not a #2! To me, he is clearly worth more. I just wonder if he would play anywhere or would he be so selective that he would not come here. I wonder if DW or ASG even gave him a thought. If they don’t after this season, then they are fools; similarly, Detroit would be foolish to let him go! I don’t see them letting him go, but I wonder if they have any young goalie prospects waiting in the wings. I just made a pun! ha ha. Anyhow, I just can’t sit through another season with this repetition of Kari and Hedberg’s up and down play. I know that on some nights, the defense and the defense played by our forwards does not help, but ultimately it comes down to the goalie too. Look at Brodeur, you can’t tell me that he did not have a bad defense after Rafalski and Niedermayer were gone, and he didn’t give up. I mean Kari has played some great games since he has been back, but what about the 1st half of the season and the injury? Sometimes, I can’t help but wonder if he takes that time off not because he is injured, but because he is mentally frustrated with the way the rest of the team is playing?!?! I am sure that I am not alone in this assumption.

by BigThrashFan on Feb 20, 2009 11:18 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

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