Kovalchuk Playing Like A Superstar
On November 22, 2008 I wrote a blog post titled "Calling Out Ilya Kovalchuk" in which I took Kovalchuk to task. My complaints were as follows.
- Despite being heavily promoted by the Thrashers as their star and the "face of the franchise" Ilya Kovalchuk did very little in the way of media relations for the Atlanta Thrashers.
- Kovalchuk was passing instead of shooting. The reason he is paid the big money is to score goals. He was passing up obvious shooting opportunities and costing the Thrashers wins because of it.
- An additional complaint (which I had mentioned in some other posts) was his weak "I'm near my guy" defensive zone play. Also a big problem was his tendency to loop back into his defensive zone with the puck only to turn it over with a bad pass.
Then the Thrashers awarded Kovalchuk the role of team captain my first week here at SB Nation. I choose not to comment on that move at the time. Frankly, I though it was a sub-optimal choice and I preferred Colby Armstrong or Nic Havelid. The Thrashers biggest weakness was allowing goals--how could you name one of the worst defensive players as team captain when your captain is supposed to set the example for the team?
Over one month has passed since Kovalchuk has named captain and frankly he's been much improved on the ice. He has returned to doing he always did well--fire the puck. Back on November, 22 he was average just 2.68 shots per game and today his season average is up to 3.40 shots per game. As the shots have gone up, so have the number of goals scored. The goals are simply a manifestation of increased offensive pressure.
Kovalchuk has taken on a larger media role doing more intermission and post-game interviews. Just this week, SportsSouth aired a behind-the-scenes segment with Ilya and his family. To be honest, it was not compelling television--but I give Kovalchuk full marks for giving his many fans a chance to learn more about their favorite player.
But the most remarkable change I've detected is in Ilya's defensive and a reduction in the number of awkward passes and bad turnovers. To put it simply, Kovalchuk is doing a much better job of moving the puck cleanly out of own defensive zone, through the neutral zone and into the offensive zone. This is significant reason for the Thrashers improved play in January and February. Their best player is being more controlled and efficient with the puck. That's a huge plus.
Throughout his career Kovalchuk's Corsi number has been just brutal. When Ilya is on the ice at Even Strength the Thrashers are usually out chanced by a big margin. It is tough to make the playoffs when you're being out gunned whenever your best player is out there on the ice. So far in February, Kovalchuk's Corsi number has been +1 (which means the Thrashers have attempted one more offensive shot than than the opposition). Now +1 might not sound like much, but it is a big improvement--his previous monthly totals this season were -19, -24, -30, -50.
Now I'm not going to go crazy over one good month--but in this case the Corsi numbers confirm what my eyeballs are telling me: Kovalchuk is making fewer turnovers, his defense is tighter, he's not backpedaling into his defensive zone with the puck as much. All of those are subtle but important improvements.
Will it continue? Will it last? I certainly can't predict the future. Maybe this is just a burst of enthusiasm that will wear off with time and Ilya's bad habits will return. On the other hand, he is just 25--most NHL players show improvement in their age 18-25 years and then they hit their peak years from 25-30. So Kovalchuk is still in that window where a significant developmental step forward would not be a total surprise.
Is this part of the maturation process or a temporary blip? I don't know, but it gives me another reason to tune and watch Thrasher games (In addition to watching Bogosian develop of course.) What I can say that this version of Ilya Kovalchuk is much more deserving of the "superstar" label and I'm hoping it continues.
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I agree
You are right on the mark, Falconer. Kovalchuk was not playing like a team leader. This morning, I am watching highlights of the Caps/Habs game, and the difference between Kovalchuk and Ovechkin is staggering if you compare them for the whole season. Ovechkin is getting 12 mill a season, and I think he is overpaid. However, he backs up his pay with his awesome play; he is the leading scorer in the NHL, and he brings enthusiasm night after night. He hits, plays defense, and does whatever is necessary to win.
Kovalchuk, who in years past, has scored more goals by this time, is just lately returning to his superstar like play. NHL named him the third star of the week because he had 5 goals and 1 assist in his previous 2 games before they looked at candidates for the Stars of the Week. They left out the last game which would have given him 7 goals and probably 3-4 assists in the last 3 games. No matter, he is playing great now for the team and that is all that matters. He is playing more on defense and is overall trying to play better, and is.
I agree with you that Havelid should have been named captain, and not Armstrong only because Havelid has been here for a few years, and has consistently played defense with fervor. He ranks 4th in the NHL in blocked shots, and has ranked high in total goals against; from Hockey Numbers, I found he has been 1st in total goals against twice and 6th one time; so, he is a good defensive defenseman. He has been here since the 2005-2006 season.
I really hope Kovalchuk stays with the Thrashers and continues to play well for us. It is great to see, and is making this part of the season more exciting to watch. I think the odds are against us making the playoffs, but if the Thrashers play well, we can finish the season with some dignity. There are enough teams that are slumping now to where we can take advantage. Kovalchuk’s leadership is going to be key, definitely. He has been one of the big differences of late. I would agree that since he was made Captain, he has
been scoring almost a goal per game. When he scores, and contributes, the Thrashers have a better chance of winning. That is obvious! Interesting to see him paired with Little and White now. Sad to see the Little, White, Russian line broken up, but when they are not producing, something has to be done. I thought that the pairing with Peverley was great, but when that line stops producing, Anderson has to shake things up. That is understandable!
Falconer,
What do you think we should do about the goalie and defense situation? Who would you go for? That is what is on my mind right now. Did you read my posting about the goalies? What do you think?
by BigThrashFan on Feb 19, 2009 8:27 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
re: goalies. They will have to choose between Pavelec, Lehtonen and Hedberg between now and training camp. Lehtonen will want big money this summer so he seems like the most likely candidate to be moved. Plus he’s never been healthy enough to justify a big salary, not has he really had long stretches of elite level play.
Defensemen. Who knows. there are just too many possibilities to sort out. I wouldn’t be totally shocked if Havelid is traded and then re-signs here over the summer if his family wants to stay in Atlanta. I’m sure they will target one veteran defenseman to go with all the kids.
by The Falconer on Feb 19, 2009 11:00 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Yesterday I heard Kovy do an ad on the radio for Air Tran
by ThrashersRecaps on Feb 19, 2009 9:09 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Goalie
I am not against us trading Kari, but can you really see us sticking with Pavelec and Hedberg as our 1-2? I would still get another goalie, and ship off Moose or just let him go. Again, the list of goalies that I posted a few days ago, I am sure if we offered at least double for what some of them are making, we will come in under what Kari was paid, and be getting a good deal. I mean Conklin is only getting $750K, Weekes- 700K, and Clemmensen is making 500K. I don’t know if we can get Conklin because if I am Detroit, I would resign him as soon as I can. If NJ signs Clemmensen, which I would too, then that leaves Weekes. He is not bad either, and you just know that NJ is going to have to let one of those two go. I still say we get one of these underpaid backups.
St. Louis played Holt last night as Mason faltered. Is he any good too?
Not taking anything away from what you say about van Riemsdyk, I am sure that it would be a great trade, but I still think that we need to get another goalie.
by BigThrashFan on Feb 19, 2009 12:49 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Prospects
Falconer,
I also agree that we need to bring up Machchek, Holzapfel, Sterling, and Kulda to see what kind of impact they would have. I wish that we could get a look at them now. At least Kulda now that Schneider is gone. Or even bring up one of those forwards to replace Boulton a little. Thorburn can be the enforcer, and Thorburn has scored more but still fights when needed. So does Valabik.
by BigThrashFan on Feb 19, 2009 12:51 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

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